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Native Representation Probability Plots

·1 min

These figures show the relationship between a district’s Native voting-age population (NVAP) share and the probability that it elects a Native representative. Figures from the 2020 redistricting cycle (based on the 2020 census) appear first, followed by analogous figures from the 2010 redistricting cycle.


2020 Redistricting Cycle #

All Chambers — National #

Figure 3 in the paper

Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2020 redistricting cycle, all chambers)
Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2020 redistricting cycle, all chambers)

Lower Chamber — National #

Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2020 redistricting cycle, lower chambers)
Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2020 redistricting cycle, lower chambers)

Upper Chamber — National #

Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2020 redistricting cycle, upper chambers)
Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2020 redistricting cycle, upper chambers)

All Chambers — By State #

Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives by State (2020 redistricting cycle)
Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives by State (2020 redistricting cycle)

2010 Redistricting Cycle #

All Chambers — National #

Appendix figure in the paper

Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2010 redistricting cycle, all chambers)
Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2010 redistricting cycle, all chambers)

Lower Chamber — National #

Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2010 redistricting cycle, lower chambers)
Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2010 redistricting cycle, lower chambers)

Upper Chamber — National #

Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2010 redistricting cycle, upper chambers)
Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives (2010 redistricting cycle, upper chambers)

All Chambers — By State #

Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives by State (2010 redistricting cycle)
Native VAP & Probability of Electing Native Representatives by State (2010 redistricting cycle)